Thursday, 11 June 2026

The CGT Register Watch: One Month After the Budget

Malcolm Faed's Blog · June 2026 · Part 2

The CGT Register Watch: One Month After the Budget

In May I pulled the parliamentary register of interests to see how much property federal politicians had declared, just before the budget. The budget has now landed — and it was bigger than anyone expected. Here's the follow-up: what changed, and what the register does (and doesn't) show a month later.

Published June 2026 Data: aph.gov.au · openpolitics.au · budget.gov.au

Part 1: If you missed it, the original post — Down a Rabbit Hole: Politicians, Property and the CGT Register — covered the declared property and shareholdings of the 48th Parliament as at May 2026, before budget night. This post picks up where it left off.

Note: This research was done with the assistance of Claude by Anthropic. All data comes from the public Register of Members' Interests, openpolitics.au, official budget papers, and the ATO. Registers change continuously — verify at the source. Nothing here is financial or legal advice.

First: What the Budget Actually Did

On 12 May 2026, the Treasurer handed down a budget that went further on CGT than most of the pre-budget speculation. Rather than trimming the 50% discount to 25% or 33% as was widely tipped, the government announced it would replace the discount entirely with cost base indexation — effectively a return to the pre-1999 system — plus a new 30% minimum tax rate on capital gains. The changes take effect from 1 July 2027 and apply to individuals, trusts and partnerships. The legislation (the Treasury Laws Amendment (Tax Reform No. 1) Bill 2026) was introduced to Parliament on 28 May.

The headline points, from the budget papers and ATO guidance:

MeasureDetail
50% CGT discountReplaced with CPI cost-base indexation from 1 July 2027, for individuals, trusts and partnerships
Minimum taxNew 30% minimum tax rate on capital gains made from 1 July 2027
Negative gearingLimited to new builds from 1 July 2027. Established properties acquired after 7:30pm on 12 May 2026 have rental losses quarantined
GrandfatheringProperties acquired before 7:30pm AEST on 12 May 2026 keep current negative gearing treatment
TransitionThe 50% discount is preserved for gains accrued up to 1 July 2027 — assets are effectively revalued at that date, with the ATO to provide valuation tools
Pre-1985 assetsSurprisingly, pre-CGT assets are brought into the new system for gains accruing after 1 July 2027
ExemptionsMain residence exemption unchanged. New residential dwellings can choose either method. Super funds keep their existing one-third discount
The interesting design detail The transitional arrangements largely removed the incentive for a pre-budget fire sale. Because the 50% discount is preserved on gains accrued up to 1 July 2027 — with assets effectively revalued at that date — an investor who held through budget night loses nothing on their existing gains. The "sell before the budget or lose the discount" scenario that drove so much pre-budget speculation didn't eventuate. Anyone who did rush to sell in March–April locked in the same treatment they would have kept anyway.

Now: What the Register Shows, One Month On

This was the part I was most curious about. In the first post I documented the 28-day disclosure window and predicted that any transactions made around budget time wouldn't become publicly visible until June or July. So in mid-June, I pulled the full register again and compared every member's "last updated" date against my May snapshot.

The headline finding:

0 Register updates dated May or June 2026 — none visible yet
28 Apr Most recent update on the entire register (Sam Rae, Hawke VIC)
~21 Members who updated during April 2026 — more than first identified
Feb 2025 Treasurer Chalmers' listed last update — the oldest of any senior minister

As of mid-June 2026, not a single register entry carries a May or June date. The most recent update on the whole Members' register is 28 April. Parliament resumed sitting on 11 May, the budget was the 12th, and the bill was introduced on the 28th — yet none of the disclosure consequences of that period are publicly visible. This is exactly the lag the 28-day rule plus the tabling cycle produces. The first wave of post-budget disclosures should start appearing through late June and July.

In other words: if any politician bought or sold anything around budget time, we still can't see it. That's not an allegation — it's simply how the system is designed. Transactions from budget week aren't required to be notified until mid-June, and then must wait for the next tabling.

The Fuller April Picture

The complete register scan also turned up April updates I missed in the first post. The full list of members whose register shows an April 2026 update date is now around 21 — roughly one in seven members. Notable additions (marked NEW) include some significant names:

MemberPartyUpdatedNotes from Part 1 dataRegister PDF
Sam Rae (Hawke VIC) NEWALP28 AprMost recent update on registerPDF ↗
Patrick Gorman (Perth WA)ALP24 AprPDF ↗
Angie Bell (Moncrieff QLD)LNP22 AprPDF ↗
Jodie Belyea (Dunkley VIC)ALP21 AprPDF ↗
Matt Thistlethwaite (Kingsford Smith NSW) NEWALP21 AprPDF ↗
Darren Chester (Gippsland VIC)Nationals20 Apr4 RE declaredPDF ↗
Helen Haines (Indi VIC)Ind20 Apr14 shareholdingsPDF ↗
Cassandra Fernando (Holt VIC)ALP20 AprPDF ↗
Kara Cook (Bonner QLD)ALP20 AprPDF ↗
Julian Leeser (Berowra NSW) NEWLiberal20 AprPDF ↗
Tracey Roberts (Pearce WA) NEWALP20 AprPDF ↗
Anika Wells (Lilley QLD) NEWALP20 AprMinisterPDF ↗
Tim Wilson (Goldstein VIC) NEWLiberal16 AprShadow Treasurer · 14 shareholdings, 4 RE in Part 1PDF ↗
Jerome Laxale (Bennelong NSW) NEWALP12 Apr17 shareholdings in Part 1PDF ↗
Matt Burnell (Spence SA)ALP11 AprPDF ↗
Leon Rebello (McPherson QLD) NEWLNP10 AprPDF ↗
Sally Sitou (Reid NSW) NEWALP9 Apr24 shareholdings in Part 1PDF ↗
Anthony Albanese (Grayndler NSW)ALP8 AprPrime Minister · 3 REPDF ↗
Madeleine King (Brand WA) NEWALP7 AprResources Minister · 7 RE in Part 1PDF ↗
Matt Keogh (Burt WA)ALP7 AprPDF ↗
Dan Repacholi (Hunter NSW) NEWALP7 AprPDF ↗
Renee Coffey (Griffith QLD)ALP7 AprPDF ↗

The same caveat from Part 1 applies, and it matters: an update date tells you nothing about what was updated. Register updates cover gifts, sponsored travel, share transactions, directorships and more. The only way to know what changed in any individual case is to read the scanned PDF and compare it against the prior version. I haven't done that document-by-document comparison, so no conclusion about any individual member should be drawn from their appearance in this table.

The Big Property Holders: No Movement Visible

For the members with the largest declared property portfolios from Part 1, here are their register dates as of mid-June. Most haven't lodged an update since well before the budget window:

MemberPartyRE Declared (Part 1)Register Last UpdatedUpdated since CGT report (17 Mar)?
Michelle RowlandALP118 Sep 2025No
Tony BurkeALP1113 Jan 2026No
Andrew CharltonALP1016 Aug 2025No
Colin BoyceLNP108 Aug 2025No
Terry YoungLNP1013 Nov 2025No
Rob MitchellALP87 Aug 2025No
Meryl SwansonALP87 Aug 2025No
Rick WilsonLiberal86 Aug 2025No
Alison ByrnesALP823 Mar 2026Yes
Sarah WittyALP82 Apr 2026Yes
Madeleine KingALP77 Apr 2026Yes
Ben SmallLiberal76 Feb 2026No
Sophie ScampsInd719 Aug 2025No
Tanya PlibersekALP719 Feb 2026No

Read plainly: of the fifteen largest declared property holders in the House, twelve have not lodged any register update since the CGT debate began in earnest. Whatever they did or didn't do around the budget, the public record doesn't yet say.

One oddity worth noting: the register lists Treasurer Jim Chalmers' statement as last updated 6 February 2025 — which predates the 48th Parliament itself. That's likely a typo on the APH page (probably 2026), but as published it makes the Treasurer's entry the oldest-dated of any senior minister. His statement PDF is here if you want to check.

The Disclosure Pipeline, Revisited

Part 1 laid out the disclosure chain. Now we can put real dates on it:

Budget night12 May
Bill introduced28 May
28-day notification deadline for budget-week changes~9 June
Updates appear on registerLate June – July

A member who transacted on budget night had until roughly 9 June to notify the Registrar. Updates are then processed and the register page updated. So the window we're now entering — mid-June through July — is when the post-budget picture finally becomes public. As of this post, it hasn't started appearing yet.

Did Anyone Need to Sell Anyway?

Here's the part that surprised me most when reading the budget papers and the analysis from the major accounting firms. The pre-budget speculation assumed investors (politicians included) would need to sell before budget night to lock in the 50% discount. The actual policy design made that largely unnecessary:

First, the CGT changes only apply to gains accruing after 1 July 2027 — gains earned up to that date keep the 50% discount, with assets effectively revalued at the transition. Second, the negative gearing changes only affect properties acquired after budget night; everything already held is grandfathered. Third, super funds — including SMSFs — keep their existing one-third discount entirely.

So an investor holding property through the budget lost nothing on their existing position. If the June–July disclosure wave shows property sales by members, the "beat the CGT change" explanation won't actually hold up — the transition design removed that motive. Conversely, the grandfathering of existing holdings means the 458 properties declared across the parliament keep their current negative gearing treatment indefinitely, while anyone buying established property from 13 May onward doesn't. Existing owners — including the parliament that voted on the design — are the protected class under the new rules. That's a structural observation about the policy, not a claim about anyone's intent.

What I'll Watch Next

The plan from here is simple: re-pull the register in late July, after the post-budget notification deadline has fully flowed through and the next tabling has occurred. The specific things to compare against this post's snapshot:

Any member whose register date moves to May or June 2026 — particularly the fifteen large property holders in the table above. Any change in declared property counts on Open Politics between the May snapshot and late July. And the Senate register, which updates on its own schedule with its own 35-day window, and which I haven't yet re-checked in detail.

The PDFs are scanned images, so a proper before/after comparison of individual statements is tedious manual work — but with the May baseline documented in Part 1 and this post, the diff will be straightforward when the new statements land. Part 3 in a couple of months.

This post was researched with the assistance of Claude (Anthropic). All register dates were taken from the public APH register as at mid-June 2026 and may have changed since. An update to a member's register entry does not indicate any particular transaction occurred — updates cover gifts, travel, shares, directorships and other routine matters, and the content of individual updates has not been reviewed. Senator interests are self-declared only. The CGT and negative gearing measures described are announced policy in legislation before Parliament and are not yet law. Nothing here constitutes financial or legal advice. Verify all figures at the source.

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